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Tony Rifkin's avatar

Excellent, Peter.

It’s particularly interesting that – while honing down the speculated grandeur of LLMs to a more immediate reality – the grandeur is still there in many respects... just not where it’s been touted it will be.

But how nice. As getting to see what they ARE, rather than having to imagine what they'll be, is so much more to the point. For example, on one hand, “They’re powerful tools for exploring known problem spaces and inadequate for breaking entirely new ground.”. But at the same time, even within that bound, in the right hands, new ground will be broken! For as you describe, the LLMs are a tool that will give us an unprecedented access to OUR knowledge and what we can do with it (though I do love that we’ll be doing that through the “sedimented... layers of knowledge”; put on your hardhats boys and girls, we’re goin’ in).

At this stage though, what is necessary for the use of the tool is 1) a better understanding of *what* the LLMs are accessing, and 2) better means for our accessing and utilizing it.

With 1, you note the linguistic (as well as formal) structures the LLMs are accessing, which they rely on for generating their responses. This is essential. And it is because of these that the breathtaking jumps in quality given by scaling “emerge” (thanks for that one Peter; maybe throw in a little catastrophe theory here too! :) )

But how good are their uses of those structures?! That (in my belief) is where WE will have to come in with #2, through our communications with the LLMs as you discussed. You noted the difference between single uses (e.g., for summarizations) and more extended dialogues with the LLMs that can take one deeper. And the protocols that will have to be learned and used to get what one wants.

Both of these will be true. But I think a key will also be on the human side of these collaborations as well. We’re getting to see knowledge and question it in an unprecedented manner. That may be a new experience for many, but they will now get to experience it. And if brought into education appropriately, that will be a very good thing. But note too, those deeper dialogues are what experts do already! So this is very much *not* a foreign matter. As we'll be able to draw upon what’s already natural for us. And in this, our knowledge may then get to become more our own? Sweet.

P.S., note that cleaning up the ‘hallucinations’ in the dialogues may be possible too (https://theconversation.com/why-openais-solution-to-ai-hallucinations-would-kill-chatgpt-tomorrow-265107), though regrettably... well, you’ll see in that article.

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